Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Northern Illinois Huskies v Toledo Rockets

Kickoff: 2026-05-22 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

45%

55%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Northern Illinois Huskies (Local)

Prediction 45.23%2.21fair odd

EV -2.29%

Edge -1.06%

Kelly -1.98%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

43.72%45.56%44.13%53.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.701.981.962.1658.82%50.39%51.02%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toledo Rockets (Visit)

Prediction 54.77%1.83fair odd

EV +6.79%

Edge +3.48%

Kelly +7.15%

Growth +0.486%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

46.58%54.44%55.87%56.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.671.781.771.9559.88%56.12%56.50%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Northern Illinois Huskies (Local): 45.23%; Toledo Rockets (Visit): 54.77%. For Toledo Rockets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.83. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.79%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Bovada🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -21.29%E -12.24%K -28.77%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV +6.79%E +3.48%K +7.15%G +0.486%	8.8%	2026-05-22 21:36
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -23.10%E -13.59%K -33.00%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV +6.79%E +3.48%K +7.15%G +0.486%	10.1%	2026-05-22 21:38
FanDuel🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -12.25%E -6.31%K -13.03%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -0.327%E -0.179%K -0.398%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-05-22 21:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.79%E -6.05%K -12.41%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.42%E -0.790%K -1.78%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-05-22 21:39
betPARX🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -9.53%E -4.77%K -9.53%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -1.97%E -1.10%K -2.49%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-22 21:38
Bally Bet🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -11.34%E -5.79%K -11.81%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -3.06%E -1.73%K -3.98%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-05-22 21:38
BetRivers🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -12.25%E -6.31%K -13.03%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 52.43%EV -3.61%E -2.05%K -4.75%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-05-22 21:39
1xBet🎯	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.29%E -1.06%K -1.98%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.35%E -3.71%K -8.94%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-05-22 14:40
theScore Bet🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.75%E -1.28%K -2.39%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.45%E -4.41%K -10.79%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-05-22 12:20
DraftKings🎯	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.81%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -7.45%E -4.41%K -10.79%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-22 11:30
BetMGM🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.75%E -1.28%K -2.39%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.54%E -5.11%K -12.75%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-22 17:20

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.