Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Florida Ospreys v North Alabama Lions

Kickoff: 2026-05-21 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

55%

45%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Florida Ospreys (Local)

Prediction 54.92%1.82fair odd

EV -3.35%

Edge -1.90%

Kelly -4.41%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

54.03%54.92%54.67%55.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.691.721.711.7659.17%58.22%58.65%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

North Alabama Lions (Visit)

Prediction 45.08%2.22fair odd

EV -3.07%

Edge -1.43%

Kelly -2.67%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

44.01%45.08%45.33%45.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.012.062.052.1549.75%48.48%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Florida Ospreys (Local): 54.92%; North Alabama Lions (Visit): 45.08%. For North Alabama Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.22. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.15, with an expected value of -3.07%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -3.35%E -1.90%K -4.41%G +0.000%	2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -5.77%E -2.76%K -5.30%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-05-21 15:30
DraftKings🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.45%E -2.56%K -6.01%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-21 12:59
Bovada🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.45%E -2.56%K -6.01%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-21 14:47
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 54.03%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.58%G +0.000%	2.01I 49.75%NM 45.97%EV -9.38%E -4.67%K -9.29%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-05-21 14:10
Bally Bet🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-21 13:40
BetRivers🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-21 13:50
betPARX🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.58%E -3.70%K -7.22%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-21 13:49
theScore Bet🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.19%E -4.26%K -10.42%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.07%E -1.43%K -2.67%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-05-21 14:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.