Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Florida Ospreys v Florida Gulf Coast Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-05-22 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Florida Ospreys (Local)

Prediction 44.88%2.23fair odd
EV -5.75%
Edge -2.74%
Kelly -5.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.88%44.88%44.88%44.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.062.092.102.1048.54%47.92%47.62%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Florida Gulf Coast Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 55.12%1.81fair odd
EV -5.75%
Edge -3.36%
Kelly -8.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.08%55.12%55.12%55.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.701.711.7159.52%58.82%58.48%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Florida Ospreys (Local): 44.88%; Florida Gulf Coast Eagles (Visit): 55.12%. For North Florida Ospreys (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -5.75%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.75%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.75%E -3.36%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-22 13:20
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.75%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.75%E -3.36%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-22 13:50
MyBookie.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -7.54%E -3.66%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.40%E -4.41%K -10.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-22 13:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.