The School of College Oddsodds.college
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North Carolina Tar Heels v West Virginia Mountaineers

Kickoff: 2026-06-14 23:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Carolina Tar Heels (Local)

Prediction 55.67%1.80fair odd
EV +0.203%
Edge +0.113%
Kelly +0.254%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.25%56.17%55.12%60.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.671.701.8063.69%60.03%58.82%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit)

Prediction 44.33%2.26fair odd
EV +4.62%
Edge +1.96%
Kelly +3.40%
Growth +0.157%

assuming max odds 2.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.95%43.83%44.88%46.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.172.162.3648.78%46.15%46.30%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Carolina Tar Heels (Local): 55.67%; West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit): 44.33%. For West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.26. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.36, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.62%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -12.60%E -8.03%K -22.11%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV +4.62%E +1.96%K +3.40%G +0.157%6.1%2026-06-14 23:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -10.93%E -6.83%K -18.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +1.96%E +0.853%K +1.51%G +0.030%6.0%2026-06-14 23:09
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -10.37%E -6.44%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -0.254%E -0.113%K -0.203%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-14 23:10
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -12.60%E -8.03%K -22.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -0.254%E -0.113%K -0.203%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-14 23:10
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.15%E -4.94%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.47%E -1.12%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-14 23:10
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -10.37%E -6.44%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -2.47%E -1.12%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-14 23:10
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.36%E -3.16%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.36%E -1.54%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 19:50
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.36%E -3.16%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.80%E -1.75%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 20:00
Bally Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%EV -9.26%E -5.68%K -14.70%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%EV -4.24%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-14 21:00
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -9.82%E -6.06%K -15.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.09%EV -5.13%E -2.40%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-14 23:10
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.81%E -2.81%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.90%E -3.29%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-14 23:00
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.81%E -2.81%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.90%E -3.29%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-14 22:59
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.81%E -2.81%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.90%E -3.29%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-14 22:59
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.81%E -2.81%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.90%E -3.29%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-14 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -4.81%E -2.81%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -7.35%E -3.52%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 22:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -4.81%E -2.81%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -7.35%E -3.52%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 23:00
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV +0.203%E +0.113%K +0.254%G +0.001%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -9.12%E -4.45%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 23:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%3.2%2026-06-14 23:10
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%7.1%2026-06-14 23:10