The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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North Carolina Tar Heels v USC Trojans

Kickoff: 2026-06-07 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Carolina Tar Heels (Local)

Prediction 64.19%1.56fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -3.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.41%64.21%64.13%65.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.461.451.5370.92%68.35%68.97%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

USC Trojans (Visit)

Prediction 35.81%2.79fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -1.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.31%35.79%35.87%37.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.522.622.622.7039.68%38.11%38.17%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Carolina Tar Heels (Local): 64.19%; USC Trojans (Visit): 35.81%. For North Carolina Tar Heels (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.56. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.53, with an expected value of -1.79%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -1.79%E -1.17%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -9.03%E -3.56%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-07 17:08
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -3.08%E -2.04%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -8.32%E -3.25%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 17:19
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.72%E -2.48%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.10%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-07 14:58
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.72%E -2.48%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 00:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -4.36%E -2.93%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -7.96%E -3.10%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-07 16:08
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -4.36%E -2.93%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -7.96%E -3.10%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-07 15:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -4.36%E -2.93%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -7.96%E -3.10%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-07 15:20
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.84%EV -4.36%E -2.93%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.16%EV -9.75%E -3.87%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-07 15:19
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -5.00%E -3.38%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -6.17%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-07 00:40
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.93%E -4.78%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.30%E -1.22%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-07 18:50
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.93%E -4.78%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.30%E -1.22%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-07 14:00
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.57%E -5.26%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.17%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-06 22:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.57%E -5.26%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.17%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-06 22:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.57%E -5.26%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.17%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-06 22:59
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.57%E -5.26%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.89%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-07 09:19
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -8.21%E -5.74%K -19.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -3.30%E -1.22%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-07 18:48
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -9.50%E -6.74%K -23.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -3.30%E -1.22%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-07 16:30
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -9.50%E -6.74%K -23.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -3.30%E -1.22%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-07 16:29
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -9.50%E -6.74%K -23.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -3.30%E -1.22%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-07 16:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-06-07 18:50