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North Carolina Tar Heels v UNC Wilmington Seahawks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
North Carolina Tar Heels (Local)
assuming max odds 1.28
UNC Wilmington Seahawks (Visit)
assuming max odds 4.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Carolina Tar Heels (Local): 76.07%; UNC Wilmington Seahawks (Visit): 23.93%. For UNC Wilmington Seahawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.18. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.492%.
Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.71%E -7.26%K -43.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.492%E +0.117%K +0.154%G +0.001% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 20:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.43%E -5.23%K -27.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.90%E -0.464%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 20:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -8.71%E -7.26%K -43.56%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -1.90%E -0.464%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 19:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -8.71%E -7.26%K -43.56%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -1.90%E -0.464%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 19:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -8.71%E -7.26%K -43.56%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -1.90%E -0.464%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 19:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.67%E -4.57%K -23.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 19:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.19%E -5.89%K -32.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 19:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.19%E -5.89%K -32.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 19:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.19%E -5.89%K -32.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 19:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.15%E -3.29%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.69%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 19:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.39%E -2.67%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 14:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.19%E -5.89%K -32.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-14 19:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.63%E -2.05%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -13.86%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 19:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.63%E -2.05%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -13.86%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 19:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.11%EV -2.63%E -2.05%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.89%EV -16.73%E -4.81%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-14 19:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.43% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.57% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 21:25 |