The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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North Carolina Tar Heels v UNC Greensboro Spartans

Kickoff: 2026-03-18 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Carolina Tar Heels (Local)

Prediction 86.53%1.16fair odd
EV -4.82%
Edge -4.38%
Kelly -48.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.53%86.54%86.63%87.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.081.081.1094.34%92.75%92.59%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UNC Greensboro Spartans (Visit)

Prediction 13.47%7.42fair odd
EV +1.01%
Edge +0.135%
Kelly +0.156%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.38%13.46%13.37%14.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.506.997.007.5015.38%14.31%14.29%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Carolina Tar Heels (Local): 86.53%; UNC Greensboro Spartans (Visit): 13.47%. For UNC Greensboro Spartans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.42. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.01%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -8.28%E -7.81%K -137.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +1.01%E +0.135%K +0.156%G +0.002%7.7%2026-03-18 17:30
Bally Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -8.28%E -7.81%K -137.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +1.01%E +0.135%K +0.156%G +0.002%7.7%2026-03-18 17:30
betPARX🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -8.28%E -7.81%K -137.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +1.01%E +0.135%K +0.156%G +0.002%7.7%2026-03-18 17:30
FanDuel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.11%EV -6.55%E -6.06%K -81.82%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.89%EV -1.68%E -0.230%K -0.267%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 17:40
DraftKings🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.82%E -4.38%K -48.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.72%E -0.817%K -0.954%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 23:40
Bovada🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.55%E -6.06%K -81.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.72%E -0.817%K -0.954%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 00:20
888sport🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.55%E -6.06%K -81.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.72%E -0.817%K -0.954%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 17:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.55%E -6.06%K -81.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.72%E -0.817%K -0.954%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 17:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.55%E -6.06%K -81.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.72%E -0.817%K -0.954%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 17:40
theScore Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.41%E -6.93%K -105.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -5.72%E -0.817%K -0.954%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-18 17:35
1xBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.62%EV -6.55%E -6.06%K -81.82%G +0.000%6.99I 14.31%NM 13.38%EV -5.86%E -0.838%K -0.978%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 18:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.68%E -5.21%K -63.12%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -9.09%E -1.35%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-18 17:35
Fliff🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.34%EV -8.28%E -7.81%K -137.94%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.66%EV -9.76%E -1.46%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-18 17:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.83%EV -5.68%E -5.21%K -63.12%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.17%EV -11.11%E -1.68%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 17:45
BetMGM🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.82%E -4.38%K -48.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.46%E -1.92%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 01:20
Betway🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.55%E -6.06%K -81.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -12.46%E -1.92%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 17:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.