Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Carolina Tar Heels v South Carolina Gamecocks

Kickoff: 2026-03-24 22:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

75%

25%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Carolina Tar Heels (Local)

Prediction 74.72%1.34fair odd

EV -1.37%

Edge -1.04%

Kelly -4.27%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

70.67%74.55%75.00%76.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.201.261.251.3283.33%79.59%80.00%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

South Carolina Gamecocks (Visit)

Prediction 25.28%3.96fair odd

EV +1.11%

Edge +0.278%

Kelly +0.370%

Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

23.22%25.45%25.00%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.183.663.754.0031.45%27.32%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Carolina Tar Heels (Local): 74.72%; South Carolina Gamecocks (Visit): 25.28%. For South Carolina Gamecocks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.96. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.11%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -8.09%E -6.58%K -35.18%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV +1.11%E +0.278%K +0.370%G +0.004%	6.3%	2026-03-24 15:59
1xBet🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.84%E -7.24%K -40.18%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +1.11%E +0.278%K +0.370%G +0.004%	7.0%	2026-03-24 21:54
theScore Bet🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -9.59%E -7.92%K -45.65%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV +1.11%E +0.278%K +0.370%G +0.004%	7.6%	2026-03-24 22:25
BetRivers🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -10.33%E -8.61%K -51.67%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -1.42%E -0.363%K -0.489%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-03-24 22:24
Bally Bet🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -10.33%E -8.61%K -51.67%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -1.42%E -0.363%K -0.489%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-03-24 22:24
betPARX🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -9.59%E -7.92%K -45.65%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -3.94%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-03-24 22:25
888sport🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.39%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.21%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-03-24 16:04
888sport (SE)🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.39%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.21%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-03-24 16:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.39%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.21%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-03-24 16:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.34%E -5.92%K -30.60%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.21%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-03-24 16:34
Betway🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.84%E -7.24%K -40.18%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.21%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-03-24 15:59
BetMGM🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.61%E -2.80%K -12.44%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.00%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-24 02:34
Fliff🎯	1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -8.09%E -6.58%K -35.18%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -9.00%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-03-24 21:55
Caesars🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -2.11%E -1.61%K -6.82%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -11.53%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-03-24 07:48
DraftKings🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.61%E -2.80%K -12.44%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.53%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-24 01:39
Bovada🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.36%E -3.40%K -15.55%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -11.53%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-03-24 09:34
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 72.61%EV -3.61%E -2.80%K -12.44%G +0.000%	3.42I 29.24%NM 27.39%EV -13.55%E -3.96%K -5.60%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-24 18:39
LowVig.ag🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 71.30%EV -1.37%E -1.04%K -4.27%G +0.000%	3.28I 30.49%NM 28.70%EV -17.09%E -5.21%K -7.50%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-24 20:20
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 71.30%EV -1.37%E -1.04%K -4.27%G +0.000%	3.28I 30.49%NM 28.70%EV -17.09%E -5.21%K -7.50%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-24 20:20
BetUS🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 70.67%EV -1.37%E -1.04%K -4.27%G +0.000%	3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -19.62%E -6.17%K -9.00%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-03-24 20:19

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.26I 79.37%NM 75.39%	3.86I 25.91%NM 24.61%	5.3%	2026-03-24 21:54