默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

North Carolina Tar Heels v Pittsburgh Panthers

开赛时间: 2026-05-08 22:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

19 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

North Carolina Tar Heels (主队)

预测 80.84%1.24公平赔率
EV -1.37%
优势 -1.12%
Kelly -6.23%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.22

博彩公司预测分布
77.00%80.65%81.04%82.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.121.161.171.2289.29%85.90%85.47%81.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

Pittsburgh Panthers (客队)

预测 19.16%5.22公平赔率
EV +1.53%
优势 +0.289%
Kelly +0.356%
增长率 +0.005%

假设最高赔率为 5.30

博彩公司预测分布
17.58%19.35%18.96%23.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.054.865.005.3024.69%20.58%20.00%18.87%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:North Carolina Tar Heels (主队):80.84%;Pittsburgh Panthers (客队):19.16%。 对于“Pittsburgh Panthers (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.22。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为5.30,对应+1.53%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (19 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -7.03%E -6.11%K -46.87%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV +1.53%E +0.289%K +0.356%G +0.005%5.8%2026-05-08 17:44
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -9.46%E -8.44%K -78.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV +0.573%E +0.109%K +0.135%G +0.001%8.3%2026-05-08 16:43
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -9.46%E -8.44%K -78.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV +0.573%E +0.109%K +0.135%G +0.001%8.3%2026-05-08 16:44
Bally Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -9.46%E -8.44%K -78.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV +0.573%E +0.109%K +0.135%G +0.001%8.3%2026-05-08 16:45
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.82%EV -7.84%E -6.88%K -55.99%G +0.000%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.18%EV -1.73%E -0.336%K -0.418%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 21:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.41%E -4.63%K -31.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.22%E -0.843%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 16:44
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.41%E -4.63%K -31.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.22%E -0.843%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 18:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.41%E -4.63%K -31.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.22%E -0.843%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.41%E -4.63%K -31.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.22%E -0.843%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 18:15
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.22%E -5.36%K -38.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.22%E -0.843%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 16:43
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.84%E -6.88%K -55.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.22%E -0.843%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 16:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -7.03%E -6.11%K -46.87%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -6.13%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 21:53
Caesars🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.99%E -2.49%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 20:19
Bovada🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.41%E -4.63%K -31.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 16:44
Betway🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -7.84%E -6.88%K -55.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -9.01%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 19:39
DraftKings🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -9.96%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 15:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.20%EV -1.37%E -1.12%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.80%EV -20.88%E -5.06%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 21:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.20%EV -1.37%E -1.12%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.80%EV -20.88%E -5.06%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 21:24
BetUS🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.00%EV -2.18%E -1.80%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.00%EV -22.42%E -5.53%K -7.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 16:04
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。