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North Carolina Tar Heels v Ole Miss Rebels
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
North Carolina Tar Heels (Local)
assuming max odds 1.84
Ole Miss Rebels (Visit)
assuming max odds 2.17
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Carolina Tar Heels (Local): 53.02%; Ole Miss Rebels (Visit): 46.98%. For Ole Miss Rebels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.17, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.96%.
Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -14.12%E -8.71%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV +1.96%E +0.902%K +1.67%G +0.033% | 7.8% | 2026-06-12 23:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -14.12%E -8.71%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV +1.96%E +0.902%K +1.67%G +0.033% | 7.8% | 2026-06-12 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -14.12%E -8.71%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV +1.96%E +0.902%K +1.67%G +0.033% | 7.8% | 2026-06-12 23:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -7.75%E -4.46%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -0.862%E -0.409%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-12 18:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.69%E -3.80%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.27%E -1.09%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-12 22:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.75%E -4.46%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.68%E -1.80%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-12 22:48 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.75%E -4.46%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.68%E -1.80%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-12 22:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.57%E -2.54%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.03%E -3.02%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-12 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.63%E -3.16%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.03%E -3.02%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-12 23:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.16%E -3.48%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.03%E -3.02%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-12 22:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.16%E -3.48%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.03%E -3.02%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-12 22:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.16%E -3.48%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.03%E -3.02%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-12 21:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.75%E -4.46%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.38%E -4.30%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-12 22:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.57%EV -10.40%E -6.16%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.43%EV -8.38%E -4.30%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-12 23:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -2.45%E -1.33%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -9.32%E -4.83%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-12 22:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 0.9% | 2026-06-12 23:00 |