The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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North Carolina Tar Heels v Oklahoma Sooners

Kickoff: 2026-06-20 19:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Carolina Tar Heels (Local)

Prediction 58.14%1.72fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -2.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.76%57.96%57.94%59.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.621.611.6964.10%61.73%62.11%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oklahoma Sooners (Visit)

Prediction 41.86%2.39fair odd
EV -3.72%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -2.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.41%42.04%42.06%44.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.132.242.252.3046.95%44.63%44.44%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Carolina Tar Heels (Local): 58.14%; Oklahoma Sooners (Visit): 41.86%. For North Carolina Tar Heels (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.72. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.69, with an expected value of -1.75%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -1.75%E -1.03%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -10.83%E -5.09%K -9.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-20 19:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -1.75%E -1.03%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -10.83%E -5.09%K -9.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-20 19:09
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.91%E -1.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 19:08
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.91%E -1.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 19:09
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.07%E -2.47%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 19:08
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.65%E -2.84%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -4.13%E -1.81%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 18:56
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 19:09
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.40%E -3.97%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-20 18:59
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.40%E -3.97%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-20 19:08
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.98%E -4.36%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.72%E -1.62%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 19:10
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.98%E -4.36%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.72%E -1.62%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 19:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.98%E -4.36%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-20 19:08
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%EV -7.56%E -4.76%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.95%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-20 18:59
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -9.31%E -5.97%K -16.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -3.72%E -1.62%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-20 19:09
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -9.31%E -5.97%K -16.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -3.72%E -1.62%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-20 19:10
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -9.31%E -5.97%K -16.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -3.72%E -1.62%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-20 19:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-06-20 19:10
Novig◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%2.8%2026-06-20 19:10