The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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North Carolina Tar Heels v Oklahoma Sooners

Kickoff: 2026-06-21 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Carolina Tar Heels (Local)

Prediction 59.99%1.67fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -4.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.99%60.24%59.92%62.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.571.581.6267.57%63.90%63.09%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oklahoma Sooners (Visit)

Prediction 40.01%2.50fair odd
EV +0.036%
Edge +0.014%
Kelly +0.024%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.19%39.76%40.08%41.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.382.352.5043.48%42.11%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Carolina Tar Heels (Local): 59.99%; Oklahoma Sooners (Visit): 40.01%. For Oklahoma Sooners (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.499. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.500, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.036%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -11.22%E -7.58%K -23.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV +0.036%E +0.014%K +0.024%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-19 16:50
Bally Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -11.22%E -7.58%K -23.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV +0.036%E +0.014%K +0.024%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-19 16:50
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -11.22%E -7.58%K -23.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV +0.036%E +0.014%K +0.024%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-19 16:49
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.97%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 20:50
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.97%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 12:40
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.42%E -4.12%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.97%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 18:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -5.57%E -2.36%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-19 17:50
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.02%E -2.51%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 17:40
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:10
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-19 16:50
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.22%E -3.31%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -6.37%E -2.72%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-18 15:29
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.82%E -1.74%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -6.77%E -2.90%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-19 17:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -4.02%E -2.51%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -7.57%E -3.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -4.02%E -2.51%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -7.57%E -3.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 18:40
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.97%E -3.46%K -6.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-19 02:50
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.62%E -2.91%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.97%E -3.46%K -6.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-19 21:08
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%1.7%2026-06-19 21:40