Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.25
assuming max odds 4.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Carolina Tar Heels (Local): 76.89%; High Point Panthers (Visit): 23.11%. For High Point Panthers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.33. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.67%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.73%E -6.44%K -38.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +1.67%E +0.380%K +0.492%G +0.008% | 6.1% | 2026-04-21 16:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.14%EV -7.73%E -6.44%K -38.65%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 21.86%EV -0.869%E -0.202%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 19:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -6.96%E -5.75%K -33.14%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -1.79%E -0.422%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 16:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.19%E -5.07%K -28.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.26%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 23:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.19%E -5.07%K -28.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.26%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 00:23 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.19%E -5.07%K -28.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.26%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 01:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.19%E -5.07%K -28.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.26%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 13:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.19%E -5.07%K -28.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.26%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 13:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.96%E -5.75%K -33.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.26%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 16:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.88%E -3.11%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.57%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 13:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.19%E -5.07%K -28.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.57%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 00:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.19%E -5.07%K -28.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.57%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 00:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.19%E -5.07%K -28.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.57%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 00:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.96%E -5.75%K -33.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.57%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.73%E -6.44%K -38.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.57%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-21 12:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.19%E -5.07%K -28.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -8.73%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 13:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.19%E -5.07%K -28.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.88%E -2.53%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 18:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.19%E -5.07%K -28.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.88%E -2.53%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.19%E -5.07%K -28.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.88%E -2.53%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.95% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 22.05% | 2.6% | 2026-04-21 21:00 |