Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Carolina Tar Heels v Boston College Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-04-02 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Carolina Tar Heels (Local)

Prediction 74.33%1.35fair odd
EV -1.89%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -5.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.43%74.12%74.31%75.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.271.251.3281.97%78.98%80.00%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Boston College Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 25.67%3.90fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.301%
Kelly -0.407%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.06%25.88%25.69%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.633.643.8530.30%27.58%27.47%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Carolina Tar Heels (Local): 74.33%; Boston College Eagles (Visit): 25.67%. For Boston College Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.90. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.85, with an expected value of -1.16%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -1.89%E -1.43%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -15.28%E -4.63%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-02 17:00
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -2.63%E -2.01%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-02 18:09
Bovada🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.37%E -2.60%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -14.00%E -4.18%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 17:07
MyBookie.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.37%E -2.60%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -15.28%E -4.63%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 20:14
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.12%E -3.19%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.58%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 18:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.29%EV -4.12%E -3.19%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.71%EV -9.12%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-02 17:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.29%EV -4.12%E -3.19%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.71%EV -9.12%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-02 17:24
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.12%E -3.19%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 17:19
FanDuel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -7.09%E -5.67%K -28.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -1.16%E -0.301%K -0.407%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 18:50
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.09%E -5.67%K -28.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.73%E -0.994%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 15:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.09%E -5.67%K -28.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.73%E -0.994%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 15:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.09%E -5.67%K -28.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.73%E -0.994%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 15:50
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.65%EV -7.09%E -5.67%K -28.36%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.35%EV -5.52%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 18:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.09%E -5.67%K -28.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.58%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-02 16:14
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -7.83%E -6.32%K -32.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -2.44%E -0.643%K -0.872%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 18:40
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -9.32%E -7.64%K -42.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -1.16%E -0.301%K -0.407%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-02 17:40
betPARX🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -9.32%E -7.64%K -42.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -1.16%E -0.301%K -0.407%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-02 17:39
Bally Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -9.32%E -7.64%K -42.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -1.16%E -0.301%K -0.407%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-02 17:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%5.5%2026-04-02 20:44