Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Carolina Tar Heels v Boston College Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-04-03 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Carolina Tar Heels (Local)

Prediction 75.60%1.32fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -8.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.15%75.62%75.39%77.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.241.251.2982.64%80.36%80.32%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Boston College Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 24.40%4.10fair odd
EV +0.027%
Edge +0.006%
Kelly +0.009%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.93%24.38%24.61%25.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.683.813.754.1027.17%26.23%26.67%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Carolina Tar Heels (Local): 75.60%; Boston College Eagles (Visit): 24.40%. For Boston College Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.099. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.100, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.027%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.01%E -5.70%K -30.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +0.027%E +0.006%K +0.009%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 20:50
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +0.027%E +0.006%K +0.009%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 20:44
theScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -8.52%E -7.04%K -40.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -2.41%E -0.603%K -0.804%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 20:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -7.01%E -5.70%K -30.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -6.07%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 20:50
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -7.01%E -5.70%K -30.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -6.07%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 16:40
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -7.01%E -5.70%K -30.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -6.07%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 16:40
Bally Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -7.01%E -5.70%K -30.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -6.07%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.74%E -3.76%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -8.51%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 15:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.74%E -3.76%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -8.51%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 15:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.51%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 15:20
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.51%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 15:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.51%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 15:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.51%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 16:39
BetUS🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.51%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 20:45
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.47%E -1.92%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -9.73%E -2.63%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 15:19
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.98%E -3.14%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -9.73%E -2.63%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 15:04
Bovada🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -4.74%E -3.76%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -9.73%E -2.63%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 15:46
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.65%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.98%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.35%EV -10.22%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 17:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 76.05%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.95%5.2%2026-04-03 20:49