Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 6.20
assuming max odds 1.17
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nicholls St Colonels (Local): 17.44%; Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Visit): 82.56%. For Nicholls St Colonels (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.73. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.15%.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV +8.15%E +1.31%K +1.57%G +0.128% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -8.36%E -7.53%K -76.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-17 18:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV +0.297%E +0.052%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -8.36%E -7.53%K -76.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 18:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -2.32%E -0.414%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -8.36%E -7.53%K -76.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 18:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -2.32%E -0.414%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -8.36%E -7.53%K -76.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 18:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -2.32%E -0.414%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -8.36%E -7.53%K -76.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 18:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.58I 17.92%NM 16.72%EV -2.67%E -0.478%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.28%EV -7.54%E -6.73%K -62.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 22:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.06%E -0.739%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.89%E -5.16%K -42.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-16 23:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.06%E -0.739%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.89%E -5.16%K -42.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-17 02:08 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.06%E -0.739%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.89%E -5.16%K -42.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-17 09:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.06%E -0.739%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.89%E -5.16%K -42.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-17 02:08 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -8.42%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.89%E -5.16%K -42.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 01:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -9.30%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -3.41%E -2.91%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-17 17:03 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -9.30%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.06%E -4.40%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-16 22:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -9.30%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.89%E -5.16%K -42.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 18:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -9.30%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.41%EV -8.36%E -7.53%K -76.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-17 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.16I 19.38%NM 18.23%EV -9.99%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.77%EV -5.06%E -4.40%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.16I 19.38%NM 18.23%EV -9.99%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.77%EV -5.06%E -4.40%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -12.78%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.06%E -4.40%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 17:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -12.78%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.54%E -6.73%K -62.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-17 15:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 5.38I 18.59%NM 15.67% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 84.33% | 18.6% | 2026-03-17 22:50 |