Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New Orleans Privateers v Tulane Green Wave

Kickoff: 2026-02-25 00:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New Orleans Privateers (Local)

Prediction 31.28%3.20fair odd
EV +1.66%
Edge +0.511%
Kelly +0.738%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.88%31.19%31.40%33.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.733.033.003.2536.63%33.05%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tulane Green Wave (Visit)

Prediction 68.72%1.46fair odd
EV -3.79%
Edge -2.71%
Kelly -9.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.59%68.81%68.60%71.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.351.351.4075.76%73.95%74.07%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New Orleans Privateers (Local): 31.28%; Tulane Green Wave (Visit): 68.72%. For New Orleans Privateers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.20. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.66%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV +1.66%E +0.511%K +0.738%G +0.012%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -9.29%E -7.04%K -29.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-24 16:19
888sport🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +0.096%E +0.030%K +0.044%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.60%E -6.47%K -26.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-24 22:05
888sport (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +0.096%E +0.030%K +0.044%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.60%E -6.47%K -26.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-24 22:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +0.096%E +0.030%K +0.044%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.60%E -6.47%K -26.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-24 22:05
FanDuel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -1.47%E -0.466%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -7.92%E -5.91%K -23.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-24 18:05
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.16%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.17%E -3.74%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 18:05
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.16%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.85%E -4.27%K -15.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-24 16:20
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.72%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.23%E -5.35%K -20.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-24 18:00
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.72%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.23%E -5.35%K -20.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-24 18:00
Bally Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.72%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.23%E -5.35%K -20.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-24 18:00
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.29%E -3.20%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.79%E -2.71%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 17:10
Betway🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -10.85%E -3.81%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -6.54%E -4.81%K -18.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-24 17:15
1xBet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 33.41%EV -14.61%E -5.35%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.59%EV -5.85%E -4.27%K -15.82%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-24 19:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.