The School of College Oddsodds.college
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New Mexico Lobos v Texas Tech Red Raiders

Kickoff: 2026-04-07 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New Mexico Lobos (Local)

Prediction 33.38%3.00fair odd
EV +0.130%
Edge +0.043%
Kelly +0.065%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.51%33.14%33.65%34.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.812.803.0036.36%35.55%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas Tech Red Raiders (Visit)

Prediction 66.62%1.50fair odd
EV -5.39%
Edge -3.80%
Kelly -12.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.95%66.86%66.35%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.411.411.4272.46%70.96%70.92%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New Mexico Lobos (Local): 33.38%; Texas Tech Red Raiders (Visit): 66.62%. For New Mexico Lobos (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.996. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.000, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.130%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +0.130%E +0.043%K +0.065%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 19:40
Caesars🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -1.54%E -0.522%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.39%E -3.80%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 17:44
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.21%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 16:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 32.94%EV -5.54%E -1.96%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.06%EV -7.39%E -5.32%K -18.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-07 19:31
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.39%E -3.80%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 19:25
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.39%E -3.80%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 19:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.39%E -3.80%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 14:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.39%E -3.80%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 14:30
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.06%E -4.30%K -14.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-07 19:34
1xBet🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 33.81%EV -7.88%E -2.86%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.19%EV -6.06%E -4.30%K -14.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 19:50
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.21%E -2.99%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.39%E -3.80%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 12:45
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.21%E -2.99%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.06%E -4.30%K -14.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-07 16:45
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.21%E -2.99%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.06%E -4.30%K -14.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-07 16:45
Bally Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.21%E -2.99%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.06%E -4.30%K -14.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-07 16:45
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.21%E -2.99%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 19:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%5.1%2026-04-07 19:40