Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nevada Wolf Pack v New Mexico Lobos

Kickoff: 2026-05-22 01:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nevada Wolf Pack (Local)

Prediction 50.00%2.00fair odd
EV -5.00%
Edge -2.63%
Kelly -5.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.27%50.00%51.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.851.871.9055.87%54.09%53.48%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New Mexico Lobos (Visit)

Prediction 50.00%2.00fair odd
EV -3.50%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -3.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.12%49.73%50.00%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.881.871.9354.64%53.06%53.48%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nevada Wolf Pack (Local): 50.00%; New Mexico Lobos (Visit): 50.00%. For New Mexico Lobos (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.00. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.93, with an expected value of -3.50%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 23:09
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 14:50
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 14:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 19:09
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 18:09
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 16:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 22:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 22:50
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 22:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -8.00%E -4.35%K -9.52%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -7.00%E -3.76%K -8.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-21 22:19
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 00:10
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-21 15:39
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -10.50%E -5.87%K -13.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-21 20:10
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -10.50%E -5.87%K -13.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-21 20:10
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -10.50%E -5.87%K -13.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-21 20:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.