Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nebraska Cornhuskers v USC Trojans

Kickoff: 2026-04-19 17:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nebraska Cornhuskers (Local)

Prediction 51.31%1.95fair odd
EV -5.08%
Edge -2.74%
Kelly -5.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.80%51.78%51.34%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.811.821.8557.47%55.40%54.95%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

USC Trojans (Visit)

Prediction 48.69%2.05fair odd
EV -0.186%
Edge -0.091%
Kelly -0.177%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%48.22%48.66%49.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.941.912.0552.36%51.55%52.36%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nebraska Cornhuskers (Local): 51.31%; USC Trojans (Visit): 48.69%. For USC Trojans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.054. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.050, with an expected value of -0.186%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.08%E -2.74%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.03%E -3.12%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 17:01
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.08%E -2.74%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.00%E -3.67%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 16:59
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.10%E -3.33%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.00%E -3.67%K -7.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 17:00
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.10%E -3.33%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.00%E -3.67%K -7.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 17:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.10%E -3.33%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.00%E -3.67%K -7.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 16:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.10%E -3.33%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.00%E -3.67%K -7.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 17:00
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.62%E -3.63%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -6.52%E -3.39%K -7.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 16:59
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -6.62%E -3.63%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -7.00%E -3.67%K -7.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 17:00
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -6.62%E -3.63%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -7.00%E -3.67%K -7.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 17:00
Bally Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -6.62%E -3.63%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -7.00%E -3.67%K -7.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 17:00
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.00%E -3.67%K -7.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 16:59
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.00%E -3.67%K -7.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 16:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.00%E -3.67%K -7.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 16:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.64%E -4.25%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.00%E -3.67%K -7.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 16:59
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.18%E -5.19%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -2.62%E -1.31%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 16:58
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -10.72%E -6.16%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -0.186%E -0.091%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 16:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -10.72%E -6.16%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -0.186%E -0.091%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 16:59
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -10.72%E -6.16%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -0.186%E -0.091%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 16:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%5.0%2026-04-19 17:00