Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nebraska Cornhuskers v Penn State Nittany Lions

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nebraska Cornhuskers (Local)

Prediction 83.13%1.20fair odd
EV -4.40%
Edge -3.83%
Kelly -29.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.16%83.39%83.08%84.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.131.121.1590.91%88.68%89.29%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit)

Prediction 16.87%5.93fair odd
EV +4.60%
Edge +0.741%
Kelly +0.884%
Growth +0.041%

assuming max odds 6.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.18%16.61%16.92%17.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.255.585.506.2019.05%17.92%18.18%16.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nebraska Cornhuskers (Local): 83.13%; Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit): 16.87%. For Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.93. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.60%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -7.73%E -6.96%K -70.24%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV +4.60%E +0.741%K +0.884%G +0.041%6.2%2026-04-05 16:40
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -8.56%E -7.78%K -85.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV +1.22%E +0.204%K +0.244%G +0.003%7.6%2026-04-05 16:39
BetMGM🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.89%E -6.16%K -57.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -3.00%E -0.521%K -0.631%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 15:00
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.89%E -6.16%K -57.46%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -5.53%E -0.987%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 15:01
MyBookie.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.89%E -6.16%K -57.46%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -5.53%E -0.987%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 16:44
Caesars🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.40%E -3.83%K -29.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.21%E -1.31%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 09:29
DraftKings🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.23%E -4.59%K -37.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.21%E -1.31%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 23:59
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.23%E -4.59%K -37.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.21%E -1.31%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 00:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.23%E -4.59%K -37.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.21%E -1.31%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 00:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.23%E -4.59%K -37.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.21%E -1.31%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 00:15
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.89%E -6.16%K -57.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.21%E -1.31%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 16:40
Bally Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.89%E -6.16%K -57.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.21%E -1.31%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 16:40
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.89%E -6.16%K -57.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -7.21%E -1.31%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 16:40
Betway🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.73%E -6.96%K -70.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -7.21%E -1.31%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 16:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.81%EV -5.23%E -4.59%K -37.37%G +0.000%5.49I 18.21%NM 17.19%EV -7.38%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 13:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.81%EV -5.23%E -4.59%K -37.37%G +0.000%5.49I 18.21%NM 17.19%EV -7.38%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 13:05
BetUS🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.23%E -4.59%K -37.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -11.43%E -2.18%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 13:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.12I 89.29%NM 84.55%6.13I 16.31%NM 15.45%5.6%2026-04-05 17:40