Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nebraska Cornhuskers v Penn State Nittany Lions

Kickoff: 2026-04-03 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nebraska Cornhuskers (Local)

Prediction 87.08%1.15fair odd
EV -3.34%
Edge -3.01%
Kelly -30.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.88%87.35%86.74%89.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.071.071.1195.24%93.07%93.46%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit)

Prediction 12.92%7.74fair odd
EV +16.28%
Edge +1.81%
Kelly +2.04%
Growth +0.331%

assuming max odds 9.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.54%12.65%13.26%14.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.757.387.009.0014.81%13.55%14.29%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nebraska Cornhuskers (Local): 87.08%; Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit): 12.92%. For Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.74. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.28%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.70%E -7.26%K -128.25%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +16.28%E +1.81%K +2.04%G +0.331%5.5%2026-04-03 18:20
theScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -8.57%E -8.16%K -171.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV +9.82%E +1.16%K +1.31%G +0.129%7.0%2026-04-03 19:58
BetMGM🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +3.36%E +0.420%K +0.480%G +0.016%6.0%2026-04-03 18:15
Bovada🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.70%E -7.26%K -128.25%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +3.36%E +0.420%K +0.480%G +0.016%6.8%2026-04-03 20:02
1xBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.83%EV -7.70%E -7.26%K -128.25%G +0.000%7.65I 13.07%NM 12.17%EV -1.16%E -0.152%K -0.175%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 20:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.37%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.49%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -4.39%E -0.593%K -0.686%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.08%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.42%G +0.000%7.28I 13.74%NM 12.92%EV -5.94%E -0.816%K -0.946%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.08%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.42%G +0.000%7.28I 13.74%NM 12.92%EV -5.94%E -0.816%K -0.946%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 16:39
DraftKings🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.21%E -3.83%K -42.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.56%E -1.37%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 15:04
888sport🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.56%E -1.37%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 15:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.56%E -1.37%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 15:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.56%E -1.37%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 15:40
BetUS🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.56%E -1.37%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 16:50
Betway🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.56%E -1.37%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 15:50
BetRivers🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.56%E -1.37%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 19:35
Bally Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.56%E -1.37%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 19:35
betPARX🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.82%E -6.38%K -97.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.56%E -1.37%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 19:35
Caesars🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.37%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.79%E -1.89%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 15:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 90.58%9.62I 10.40%NM 9.42%10.4%2026-04-03 19:10