Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nebraska Cornhuskers v Michigan Wolverines

Kickoff: 2026-05-22 23:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nebraska Cornhuskers (Local)

Prediction 66.95%1.49fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -6.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.81%67.13%66.98%69.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.401.401.4575.19%71.60%71.43%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Michigan Wolverines (Visit)

Prediction 33.05%3.03fair odd
EV +0.790%
Edge +0.259%
Kelly +0.385%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.37%32.87%33.02%35.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.672.872.853.0537.45%34.84%35.09%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nebraska Cornhuskers (Local): 66.95%; Michigan Wolverines (Visit): 33.05%. For Michigan Wolverines (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.03. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.790%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -10.95%E -8.23%K -33.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV +0.790%E +0.259%K +0.385%G +0.003%8.0%2026-05-22 17:50
Bally Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -10.95%E -8.23%K -33.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV +0.790%E +0.259%K +0.385%G +0.003%8.0%2026-05-22 17:50
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -10.95%E -8.23%K -33.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV +0.790%E +0.259%K +0.385%G +0.003%8.0%2026-05-22 17:50
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -0.202%E -0.067%K -0.100%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-22 19:40
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.60%E -5.51%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.862%E -0.287%K -0.431%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-22 18:50
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.51%E -0.852%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-22 14:49
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.59%E -3.97%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 06:40
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-22 11:10
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.82%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-22 13:19
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-22 09:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-22 16:10
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-22 12:20
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -4.26%E -2.98%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 15:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -2.92%E -2.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -11.77%E -4.41%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-22 14:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -2.92%E -2.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -11.77%E -4.41%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-22 14:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%3.7%2026-05-22 19:17