Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nebraska Cornhuskers v Michigan St Spartans

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nebraska Cornhuskers (Local)

Prediction 70.73%1.41fair odd
EV -3.10%
Edge -2.26%
Kelly -8.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.65%70.76%71.27%72.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.311.311.3779.37%76.12%76.34%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Michigan St Spartans (Visit)

Prediction 29.27%3.42fair odd
EV -0.491%
Edge -0.144%
Kelly -0.205%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.04%29.24%28.73%31.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.213.223.4033.33%31.16%31.06%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nebraska Cornhuskers (Local): 70.73%; Michigan St Spartans (Visit): 29.27%. For Michigan St Spartans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.42. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -0.491%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -3.10%E -2.26%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -12.20%E -4.07%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 00:14
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.80%E -2.80%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.20%E -4.07%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 01:00
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.80%E -2.80%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.20%E -4.07%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 02:29
1xBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%EV -5.22%E -3.89%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -9.86%E -3.20%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 15:50
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.63%E -5.02%K -20.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.42%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 15:44
theScore Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.34%E -5.60%K -23.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.42%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 15:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.08%EV -7.34%E -5.60%K -23.68%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.92%EV -5.76%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 15:45
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.05%E -6.19%K -26.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.34%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 15:34
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -10.88%E -8.63%K -41.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -0.491%E -0.144%K -0.205%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:35
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -10.88%E -8.63%K -41.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -0.491%E -0.144%K -0.205%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:30
Bally Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -10.88%E -8.63%K -41.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -0.491%E -0.144%K -0.205%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%5.1%2026-03-08 16:49