Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nebraska Cornhuskers v Michigan St Spartans

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nebraska Cornhuskers (Local)

Prediction 69.05%1.45fair odd
EV -3.33%
Edge -2.38%
Kelly -8.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.44%69.42%68.49%73.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.341.351.4078.13%74.67%74.07%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Michigan St Spartans (Visit)

Prediction 30.95%3.23fair odd
EV +9.57%
Edge +2.70%
Kelly +3.77%
Growth +0.361%

assuming max odds 3.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.71%30.58%31.51%32.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.143.103.5435.09%31.86%32.26%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nebraska Cornhuskers (Local): 69.05%; Michigan St Spartans (Visit): 30.95%. For Michigan St Spartans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.23. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.54, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.57%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.29%EV -10.93%E -8.47%K -37.69%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.71%EV +9.57%E +2.70%K +3.77%G +0.361%5.8%2026-03-07 17:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.29%EV -10.93%E -8.47%K -37.69%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.71%EV +9.57%E +2.70%K +3.77%G +0.361%5.8%2026-03-07 17:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -11.62%E -9.08%K -41.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV +6.79%E +1.97%K +2.77%G +0.188%7.1%2026-03-07 18:53
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -10.93%E -8.47%K -37.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV +5.24%E +1.54%K +2.18%G +0.114%6.9%2026-03-07 17:10
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -0.949%E -0.297%K -0.432%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 16:05
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -7.48%E -5.58%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -0.949%E -0.297%K -0.432%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 18:49
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -0.949%E -0.297%K -0.432%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 16:06
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.72%E -3.42%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 16:04
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.36%EV -5.41%E -3.95%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.64%EV -8.38%E -2.83%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 18:54
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.33%E -2.38%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.24%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 03:30
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.10%E -4.48%K -16.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.24%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 18:54
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.10%E -4.48%K -16.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.24%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 18:54
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.10%E -4.48%K -16.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.24%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 18:50
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -6.10%E -4.48%K -16.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -11.78%E -4.13%K -6.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 15:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%4.9%2026-03-07 18:48