Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nebraska Cornhuskers v Iowa Hawkeyes

Kickoff: 2026-05-09 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nebraska Cornhuskers (Local)

Prediction 70.04%1.43fair odd
EV -3.34%
Edge -2.42%
Kelly -8.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.53%70.04%69.66%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.341.331.3876.92%74.66%75.19%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit)

Prediction 29.96%3.34fair odd
EV -1.14%
Edge -0.345%
Kelly -0.495%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.57%29.96%30.34%32.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.873.123.123.3034.84%32.01%32.05%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nebraska Cornhuskers (Local): 70.04%; Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit): 29.96%. For Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.34. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.30, with an expected value of -1.14%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.34%E -2.42%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.13%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 11:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.34%E -2.42%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -11.62%E -3.94%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 17:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.34%E -2.42%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -11.62%E -3.94%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 17:49
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.53%EV -3.34%E -2.42%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.47%EV -14.02%E -4.89%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 17:50
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.74%E -3.49%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.13%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 18:29
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.44%E -4.03%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.13%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 12:49
1xBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.18%EV -5.44%E -4.03%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.82%EV -9.23%E -3.05%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 16:20
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.14%E -4.58%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.13%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 18:33
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.84%E -5.15%K -20.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.13%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 16:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.84%E -5.15%K -20.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.13%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 16:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.84%E -5.15%K -20.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.13%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 16:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.25%EV -6.84%E -5.15%K -20.74%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -5.93%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 15:48
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.84%E -5.15%K -20.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.13%E -3.38%K -5.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 12:29
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -7.54%E -5.72%K -23.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -1.14%E -0.345%K -0.495%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 17:34
theScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.54%E -5.72%K -23.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.64%E -0.811%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 17:30
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -8.95%E -6.88%K -29.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -2.64%E -0.811%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 16:09
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -8.95%E -6.88%K -29.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -2.64%E -0.811%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 16:10
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -8.95%E -6.88%K -29.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -2.64%E -0.811%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 16:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%5.0%2026-05-09 18:29