Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nebraska Cornhuskers v Iowa Hawkeyes

Kickoff: 2026-05-08 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

71%

29%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nebraska Cornhuskers (Local)

Prediction 70.68%1.41fair odd

EV +1.08%

Edge +0.754%

Kelly +2.51%

Growth +0.027%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

66.19%69.95%70.57%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.301.341.331.4376.92%74.53%75.19%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit)

Prediction 29.32%3.41fair odd

EV -3.26%

Edge -0.987%

Kelly -1.42%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

28.57%30.05%29.43%33.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.803.123.203.3035.71%32.04%31.25%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nebraska Cornhuskers (Local): 70.68%; Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit): 29.32%. For Nebraska Cornhuskers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.41. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.43, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.08%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetMGM🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV +1.08%E +0.754%K +2.51%G +0.027%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -17.91%E -6.40%K -9.95%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-05-07 23:58
LowVig.ag🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -2.46%E -1.78%K -6.46%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -13.52%E -4.58%K -6.93%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-08 18:54
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -2.46%E -1.78%K -6.46%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -13.52%E -4.58%K -6.93%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-08 18:59
BetUS🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.53%EV -2.46%E -1.78%K -6.46%G +0.000%	2.87I 34.84%NM 32.47%EV -15.86%E -5.53%K -8.48%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-05-08 19:00
Caesars🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.75%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-08 22:09
1xBet🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -3.87%E -2.85%K -10.75%G +0.000%	2.98I 33.56%NM 31.34%EV -12.64%E -4.24%K -6.38%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-05-08 22:09
FanDuel🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.54%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-08 21:09
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.54%G +0.000%	3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -9.71%E -3.15%K -4.67%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-05-08 21:19
888sport🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-08 22:09
888sport (SE)🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-08 22:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-08 22:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-08 21:09
DraftKings🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.93%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.26%E -0.987%K -1.42%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-08 18:50
Bovada🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.93%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-05-08 18:53
theScore Bet🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.93%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-05-08 21:09
BetRivers🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.04%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-05-08 21:09
betPARX🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.04%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-05-08 21:09
Bally Bet🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.04%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-05-08 21:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%	3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%	5.5%	2026-05-08 22:34