Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nebraska Cornhuskers v Florida St Seminoles

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 21:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

34%

66%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nebraska Cornhuskers (Local)

Prediction 34.11%2.93fair odd

EV +0.960%

Edge +0.324%

Kelly +0.490%

Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

31.80%33.81%33.73%34.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.702.782.752.9637.04%36.01%36.36%33.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Florida St Seminoles (Visit)

Prediction 65.89%1.52fair odd

EV -4.46%

Edge -3.07%

Kelly -9.90%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

65.06%66.19%66.27%68.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.381.411.411.4572.46%70.75%70.92%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nebraska Cornhuskers (Local): 34.11%; Florida St Seminoles (Visit): 65.89%. For Nebraska Cornhuskers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.93. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.96, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.960%.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV +0.960%E +0.324%K +0.490%G +0.005%	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -9.07%E -6.57%K -23.87%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-02-22 21:00
theScore Bet🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.50%E -1.61%K -2.50%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.43%E -4.53%K -15.32%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-02-22 21:00
Betway🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.20%E -2.26%K -3.54%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.75%E -5.54%K -19.38%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-02-22 21:00
Bovada🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -6.20%E -2.26%K -3.54%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -9.07%E -6.57%K -23.87%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-02-22 20:48
DraftKings🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.91%E -2.93%K -4.65%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.46%E -3.07%K -9.90%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-02-22 20:30
BetMGM🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.91%E -2.93%K -4.65%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.46%E -3.07%K -9.90%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-02-22 20:30

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.