The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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NC State Wolfpack v UNC Wilmington Seahawks

Kickoff: 2026-04-07 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

NC State Wolfpack (Local)

Prediction 67.17%1.49fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -5.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.06%66.97%67.40%68.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.401.401.4573.53%71.59%71.43%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UNC Wilmington Seahawks (Visit)

Prediction 32.83%3.05fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.92%33.03%32.60%34.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.852.892.9537.04%35.05%34.60%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: NC State Wolfpack (Local): 67.17%; UNC Wilmington Seahawks (Visit): 32.83%. For NC State Wolfpack (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.49. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.45, with an expected value of -2.61%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.61%E -1.80%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -11.35%E -4.20%K -6.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-07 00:15
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.62%E -3.26%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.14%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 21:49
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.62%E -3.26%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.06%E -2.88%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 21:50
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.30%E -3.76%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -8.06%E -2.88%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-07 21:54
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.97%E -4.26%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.78%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 21:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -5.97%E -4.26%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV -5.11%E -1.77%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-07 21:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -5.97%E -4.26%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV -5.11%E -1.77%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-07 21:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.97%E -4.26%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.06%E -2.88%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-07 21:49
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.97%E -4.26%K -14.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.06%E -2.88%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-07 21:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.45%EV -7.31%E -5.30%K -19.24%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.55%EV -6.09%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 21:54
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.65%E -6.36%K -24.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -4.78%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 17:50
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.65%E -6.36%K -24.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -4.78%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 17:50
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.65%E -6.36%K -24.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -4.78%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 17:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%5.0%2026-04-07 21:50