The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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NC State Wolfpack v Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

NC State Wolfpack (Local)

Prediction 55.55%1.80fair odd
EV -4.46%
Edge -2.59%
Kelly -6.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.50%55.74%55.54%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.691.691.7260.61%59.15%59.17%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit)

Prediction 44.45%2.25fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -1.00%
Kelly -1.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%44.26%44.46%45.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.062.112.102.2048.54%47.36%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: NC State Wolfpack (Local): 55.55%; Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit): 44.45%. For Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.25. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.20, with an expected value of -2.20%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -4.46%E -2.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -8.43%E -4.09%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 14:19
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.02%E -2.93%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 01:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.02%E -2.93%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 11:04
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.02%E -2.93%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 14:48
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.13%E -3.63%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 14:50
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.13%E -3.63%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 15:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -6.13%E -3.63%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -5.31%E -2.49%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 15:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -6.13%E -3.63%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -5.31%E -2.49%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 15:55
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.13%E -3.63%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 04:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.68%E -3.98%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 14:53
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -6.68%E -3.98%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -7.54%E -3.62%K -6.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 13:25
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -6.68%E -3.98%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -7.54%E -3.62%K -6.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 13:24
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -6.68%E -3.98%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -7.54%E -3.62%K -6.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 13:24
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 14:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%5.1%2026-04-04 16:24