Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

NC State Wolfpack v Miami Hurricanes

Kickoff: 2026-05-02 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

NC State Wolfpack (Local)

Prediction 51.29%1.95fair odd
EV -5.12%
Edge -2.77%
Kelly -6.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.80%51.32%51.07%52.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.831.831.8555.56%54.76%54.64%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Miami Hurricanes (Visit)

Prediction 48.71%2.05fair odd
EV -5.01%
Edge -2.57%
Kelly -5.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.00%48.68%48.93%49.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.891.911.911.9552.91%52.34%52.36%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: NC State Wolfpack (Local): 51.29%; Miami Hurricanes (Visit): 48.71%. For Miami Hurricanes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.05. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.95, with an expected value of -5.01%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.12%E -2.77%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 12:45
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -5.63%E -3.06%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -7.44%E -3.92%K -8.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 15:25
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 03:09
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 05:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 14:25
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 14:33
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 17:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 17:39
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -7.93%E -4.20%K -8.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 21:15
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -7.93%E -4.20%K -8.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 21:15
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -6.15%E -3.36%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -7.93%E -4.20%K -8.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 21:15
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 22:25
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 11:40
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.96%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 22:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%5.3%2026-05-02 22:05