Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.47
assuming max odds 2.85
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: NC State Wolfpack (Local): 64.85%; Duke Blue Devils (Visit): 35.15%. For Duke Blue Devils (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.84. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.183%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.27%E -5.08%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.183%E +0.064%K +0.099%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 14:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.97%E -4.12%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.09%E -1.88%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-10 05:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.97%E -4.12%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.09%E -1.88%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-10 14:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.62%E -4.60%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.09%E -1.88%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-10 16:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.67%E -3.18%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.85%E -2.58%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-10 05:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.97%E -4.12%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.85%E -2.58%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-10 13:33 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.62%E -4.60%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.85%E -2.58%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-10 16:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.27%E -5.08%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -6.85%E -2.58%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 14:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.27%E -5.08%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -6.85%E -2.58%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 14:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.27%E -5.08%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -6.85%E -2.58%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 14:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -4.67%E -3.18%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -7.20%E -2.73%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-10 16:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -4.67%E -3.18%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -7.20%E -2.73%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-10 16:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.13%EV -5.32%E -3.65%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.87%EV -8.25%E -3.16%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 18:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.70%EV -4.67%E -3.18%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -9.31%E -3.61%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 16:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28% | 4.9% | 2026-04-10 21:39 |