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NC State Wolfpack v Duke Blue Devils
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
NC State Wolfpack (Local)
assuming max odds 1.44
Duke Blue Devils (Visit)
assuming max odds 2.95
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: NC State Wolfpack (Local): 66.66%; Duke Blue Devils (Visit): 33.34%. For Duke Blue Devils (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.00. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.95, with an expected value of -1.65%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.01%E -2.78%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.31%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 02:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.68%E -3.27%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.98%E -1.75%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 15:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.71%EV -4.68%E -3.27%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.29%EV -8.65%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 14:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.71%EV -4.68%E -3.27%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.29%EV -8.65%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 14:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -4.68%E -3.27%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.98%E -3.70%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-12 14:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -5.34%E -3.76%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -9.31%E -3.42%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 16:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.01%E -4.26%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.98%E -1.75%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 14:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.01%E -4.26%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.65%E -2.37%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-12 14:53 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.68%E -4.77%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.31%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 16:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.29%EV -7.34%E -5.28%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.71%EV -4.65%E -1.62%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -8.01%E -5.80%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -4.98%E -1.75%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 16:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -10.01%E -7.41%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -1.65%E -0.558%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-12 16:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -10.01%E -7.41%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -1.65%E -0.558%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-12 16:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -10.01%E -7.41%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -1.65%E -0.558%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-12 16:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.26% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.74% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 16:25 |