The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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NC State Wolfpack v Duke Blue Devils

Kickoff: 2026-05-19 13:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

NC State Wolfpack (Local)

Prediction 70.65%1.42fair odd
EV -3.92%
Edge -2.88%
Kelly -10.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.98%70.71%70.50%71.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.331.321.3675.76%75.30%75.76%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Duke Blue Devils (Visit)

Prediction 29.35%3.41fair odd
EV -4.61%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -2.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.88%29.29%29.50%30.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.183.173.2532.26%31.40%31.50%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: NC State Wolfpack (Local): 70.65%; Duke Blue Devils (Visit): 29.35%. For NC State Wolfpack (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.42. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.36, with an expected value of -3.92%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.92%E -2.88%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.61%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 12:48
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.33%E -3.98%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 13:00
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.61%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 13:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.04%E -4.54%K -18.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 12:59
Bovada🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.74%E -5.11%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.61%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 12:58
theScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.74%E -5.11%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.61%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 12:59
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.74%E -5.11%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 12:59
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.74%E -5.11%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 12:59
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.74%E -5.11%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 12:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -6.74%E -5.11%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 13:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.