Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

NC State Wolfpack v Campbell Fighting Camels

Kickoff: 2026-03-24 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

NC State Wolfpack (Local)

Prediction 69.31%1.44fair odd
EV -4.36%
Edge -3.16%
Kelly -11.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.70%69.37%69.46%71.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.351.361.3875.76%73.96%73.53%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Campbell Fighting Camels (Visit)

Prediction 30.69%3.26fair odd
EV +4.36%
Edge +1.28%
Kelly +1.81%
Growth +0.079%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.12%30.63%30.54%32.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.043.043.4035.09%32.84%32.89%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: NC State Wolfpack (Local): 69.31%; Campbell Fighting Camels (Visit): 30.69%. For Campbell Fighting Camels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.26. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.36%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.82%E -5.88%K -23.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +4.36%E +1.28%K +1.81%G +0.079%4.6%2026-03-24 15:19
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.74%E -4.22%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.85%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-24 01:34
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.44%E -4.77%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.85%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 12:15
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.13%E -5.32%K -20.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -4.85%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-24 14:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.44%EV -5.74%E -4.22%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.56%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 15:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.44%EV -5.74%E -4.22%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.56%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 15:09
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -7.13%E -5.32%K -20.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.39%E -2.09%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-24 14:00
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -7.13%E -5.32%K -20.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.39%E -2.09%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-24 13:59
Bally Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -7.13%E -5.32%K -20.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.39%E -2.09%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-24 13:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.25%EV -6.44%E -4.77%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.75%EV -6.69%E -2.20%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-24 21:09
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.36%E -3.16%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-24 20:35
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.74%E -4.22%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-24 19:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.74%E -4.22%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-24 19:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.74%E -4.22%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-24 19:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.74%E -4.22%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-24 18:53
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.74%E -4.22%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-24 15:14
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -5.74%E -4.22%K -15.95%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.34%EV -8.54%E -2.86%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-24 19:09
Fliff🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -8.51%E -6.45%K -26.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-24 19:00
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -5.74%E -4.22%K -15.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -12.53%E -4.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-24 18:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%5.5%2026-03-24 21:35