Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

NC State Wolfpack v Boston College Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

NC State Wolfpack (Local)

Prediction 74.67%1.34fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -7.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.20%74.73%74.72%76.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.251.251.3183.33%79.93%80.00%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Boston College Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 25.33%3.95fair odd
EV +1.33%
Edge +0.333%
Kelly +0.443%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.22%25.27%25.28%27.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.693.704.0029.85%27.09%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: NC State Wolfpack (Local): 74.67%; Boston College Eagles (Visit): 25.33%. For Boston College Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.95. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.33%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -9.65%E -7.98%K -45.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV +1.33%E +0.333%K +0.443%G +0.006%7.6%2026-03-15 15:35
Bally Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -10.40%E -8.67%K -52.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV +0.063%E +0.016%K +0.022%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 14:25
betPARX🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -10.40%E -8.67%K -52.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV +0.063%E +0.016%K +0.022%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 14:25
BetRivers🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -10.40%E -8.67%K -52.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV +0.063%E +0.016%K +0.022%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 14:25
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.67%E -5.33%K -26.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.00%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 14:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.67%E -5.33%K -26.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.00%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 14:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.67%E -5.33%K -26.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.00%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 14:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.41%E -5.98%K -30.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.00%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 15:30
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.91%E -7.30%K -40.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.00%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 15:29
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.17%E -4.07%K -19.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.27%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 14:38
Bovada🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.92%E -4.70%K -22.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.27%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 14:30
DraftKings🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.80%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 14:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.92%E -4.70%K -22.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.80%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 15:34
1xBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.02%EV -5.92%E -4.70%K -22.77%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 25.98%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:40
Fliff🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -7.41%E -5.98%K -30.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -10.07%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 14:40
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -2.19%E -1.67%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 11:28
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.90%EV -3.68%E -2.85%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.10%EV -12.10%E -3.49%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 11:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.90%EV -3.68%E -2.85%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.10%EV -12.10%E -3.49%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 11:30
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -3.68%E -2.85%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -15.14%E -4.52%K -6.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 12:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 76.10%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.90%5.1%2026-03-15 15:30