Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

NC State Wolfpack v Boston College Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

NC State Wolfpack (Local)

Prediction 68.90%1.45fair odd
EV -4.91%
Edge -3.56%
Kelly -12.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.70%69.19%68.81%71.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.311.351.361.3876.34%74.26%73.53%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Boston College Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 31.10%3.22fair odd
EV +3.86%
Edge +1.16%
Kelly +1.65%
Growth +0.064%

assuming max odds 3.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.17%30.81%31.19%32.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.063.003.3435.09%32.67%33.33%29.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: NC State Wolfpack (Local): 68.90%; Boston College Eagles (Visit): 31.10%. For Boston College Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.22. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.34, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.86%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.83%EV -9.74%E -7.43%K -31.41%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.17%EV +3.86%E +1.16%K +1.65%G +0.064%6.3%2026-03-14 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.83%EV -9.74%E -7.43%K -31.41%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.17%EV +3.86%E +1.16%K +1.65%G +0.064%6.3%2026-03-14 17:55
BetUS🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -9.74%E -7.43%K -31.41%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV +0.752%E +0.232%K +0.336%G +0.003%7.2%2026-03-14 17:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -8.36%E -6.28%K -25.33%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -2.98%E -0.955%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 15:58
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.29%E -4.63%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.60%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 03:35
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.67%E -5.72%K -22.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.60%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 04:58
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.91%E -3.56%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.71%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 11:45
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.29%E -4.63%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.71%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 11:40
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.29%E -4.63%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.71%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 11:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.29%E -4.63%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.71%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 11:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.29%E -4.63%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.71%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 11:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.29%E -4.63%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.71%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 12:10
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.14%EV -5.60%E -4.09%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.86%EV -8.89%E -3.03%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 17:45
Fliff🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.56%EV -8.36%E -6.28%K -25.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 17:10
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -6.29%E -4.63%K -17.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -11.38%E -3.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 16:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%5.3%2026-03-14 17:30