Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

NC State Wolfpack v Auburn Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-05-30 19:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

NC State Wolfpack (Local)

Prediction 31.11%3.21fair odd
EV +1.12%
Edge +0.344%
Kelly +0.496%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.04%30.88%31.19%31.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.053.003.2533.90%32.77%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Auburn Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 68.89%1.45fair odd
EV -4.94%
Edge -3.58%
Kelly -12.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.45%69.12%68.81%70.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.351.361.3875.19%73.80%73.53%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: NC State Wolfpack (Local): 31.11%; Auburn Tigers (Visit): 68.89%. For NC State Wolfpack (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.21. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.12%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +1.12%E +0.344%K +0.496%G +0.006%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.38%E -6.30%K -25.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 19:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +1.12%E +0.344%K +0.496%G +0.006%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.38%E -6.30%K -25.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 18:59
BetUS🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 29.56%EV -1.37%E -0.433%K -0.632%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -8.38%E -6.30%K -25.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 18:59
1xBet🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -2.62%E -0.836%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -5.62%E -4.11%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 18:50
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.55%E -1.15%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.31%E -4.64%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 18:59
MyBookie.ag🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.63%EV -4.17%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -6.31%E -4.64%K -17.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 19:00
Pinnacle🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.94%E -3.58%K -12.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 18:59
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.62%E -4.11%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 19:00
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.31%E -4.64%K -17.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 19:01
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.31%E -4.64%K -17.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 18:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.31%E -4.64%K -17.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 18:59
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.31%E -4.64%K -17.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 18:59
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.66%E -2.22%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.38%E -6.30%K -25.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-30 18:59
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.22%E -2.79%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.31%E -4.64%K -17.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 18:59
Bally Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.22%E -2.79%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.31%E -4.64%K -17.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 18:59
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.22%E -2.79%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.31%E -4.64%K -17.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 18:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.