Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.57
assuming max odds 2.55
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Navy Midshipmen (Local): 62.01%; Maine Black Bears (Visit): 37.99%. For Navy Midshipmen (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.57, with an expected value of -2.65%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -2.65%E -1.69%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.46%EV -12.23%E -5.30%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-18 18:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.27%E -2.10%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.01%E -2.01%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-18 15:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.51%E -2.93%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.81%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-18 18:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.13%E -3.35%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.01%E -2.01%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.96%EV -6.37%E -4.22%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.04%EV -6.53%E -2.66%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-18 18:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -3.49%E -1.38%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-18 17:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.01%E -2.01%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-18 17:57 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.99%E -4.66%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.81%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-18 18:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -8.23%E -5.56%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -10.71%E -4.56%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-18 18:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -8.85%E -6.02%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -3.11%E -1.22%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-18 17:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -8.85%E -6.02%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -3.11%E -1.22%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-18 17:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -8.85%E -6.02%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -3.11%E -1.22%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-18 17:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.13% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87% | 8.5% | 2026-03-18 18:20 |