Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Missouri Tigers v Texas A&M Aggies

Kickoff: 2026-03-27 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Missouri Tigers (Local)

Prediction 24.82%4.03fair odd
EV +4.26%
Edge +1.01%
Kelly +1.33%
Growth +0.057%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.22%24.85%24.81%26.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.483.793.804.2028.74%26.38%26.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas A&M Aggies (Visit)

Prediction 75.18%1.33fair odd
EV -3.02%
Edge -2.34%
Kelly -10.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.11%75.15%75.19%77.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.241.231.2983.33%80.41%81.30%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Missouri Tigers (Local): 24.82%; Texas A&M Aggies (Visit): 75.18%. For Missouri Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.03. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.26%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +4.26%E +1.01%K +1.33%G +0.057%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -9.79%E -8.16%K -48.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 21:45
FanDuel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -0.704%E -0.176%K -0.235%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.53%E -6.12%K -32.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-27 17:50
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.704%E -0.176%K -0.235%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.29%E -6.79%K -37.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 20:25
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.704%E -0.176%K -0.235%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.29%E -6.79%K -37.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 20:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.704%E -0.176%K -0.235%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.29%E -6.79%K -37.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 20:20
theScore Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -3.19%E -0.817%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.29%E -6.79%K -37.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 17:50
BetRivers🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -4.43%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -8.29%E -6.79%K -37.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-27 21:40
Bally Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -4.43%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -8.29%E -6.79%K -37.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-27 21:40
betPARX🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -4.43%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -8.29%E -6.79%K -37.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-27 21:40
Bovada🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.67%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.78%E -5.47%K -28.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 17:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.78%E -5.47%K -28.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 17:49
Caesars🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.02%E -2.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 17:44
DraftKings🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.53%E -3.56%K -16.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 17:48
Fliff🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -8.29%E -6.79%K -37.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-27 21:40
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.02%E -2.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 00:14
BetOnline.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.77%E -2.95%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 21:35
LowVig.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.77%E -2.95%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 21:30
MyBookie.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.53%E -3.56%K -16.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 17:54
BetUS🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 26.89%EV -13.61%E -3.91%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.11%EV -3.77%E -2.95%K -13.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 21:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig3.97I 25.19%NM 23.95%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.05%5.2%2026-03-27 22:34