Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Missouri Tigers v Missouri St Bears

Kickoff: 2026-04-07 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Missouri Tigers (Local)

Prediction 38.25%2.61fair odd
EV -0.542%
Edge -0.208%
Kelly -0.339%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.59%38.64%38.04%41.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.242.412.352.6044.64%41.45%42.55%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Missouri St Bears (Visit)

Prediction 61.75%1.62fair odd
EV +0.030%
Edge +0.018%
Kelly +0.048%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.03%61.36%61.96%63.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.541.531.6266.67%65.02%65.36%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Missouri Tigers (Local): 38.25%; Missouri St Bears (Visit): 61.75%. For Missouri St Bears (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.6195. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.6200, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.030%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -14.31%E -6.39%K -11.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV +0.030%E +0.018%K +0.048%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 21:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.11%E -4.30%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 21:45
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.46%EV -11.64%E -5.04%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 22:55
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.67%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 21:55
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -12.02%E -5.23%K -9.24%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -3.67%E -2.36%K -6.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-07 21:44
MyBookie.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.11%E -4.30%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.29%E -2.77%K -7.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-07 22:50
BetUS🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 21:55
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -10.11%E -4.30%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-07 22:45
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -10.11%E -4.30%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-07 22:45
Bally Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -10.11%E -4.30%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-07 22:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.76%E -4.48%K -13.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 22:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.76%E -4.48%K -13.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 22:10
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.542%E -0.208%K -0.339%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.38%E -4.92%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 22:20
DraftKings🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -2.84%E -1.12%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -7.38%E -4.92%K -14.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-07 21:40
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.38%E -4.92%K -14.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-07 00:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%5.2%2026-04-07 22:50