Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Missouri Tigers v Auburn Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Missouri Tigers (Local)

Prediction 21.81%4.59fair odd
EV +5.78%
Edge +1.19%
Kelly +1.50%
Growth +0.087%

assuming max odds 4.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.30%22.06%21.79%24.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.274.254.8525.97%23.43%23.53%20.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Auburn Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 78.19%1.28fair odd
EV -3.83%
Edge -3.11%
Kelly -16.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.79%77.94%78.21%80.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.201.201.2386.21%83.19%83.33%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Missouri Tigers (Local): 21.81%; Auburn Tigers (Visit): 78.19%. For Missouri Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.59. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.78%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV +5.78%E +1.19%K +1.50%G +0.087%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.70%EV -9.30%E -8.02%K -58.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 16:54
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.85%E -0.412%K -0.530%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 20:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.85%E -0.412%K -0.530%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 20:25
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.85%E -0.412%K -0.530%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 20:25
DraftKings🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -1.85%E -0.412%K -0.530%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.95%E -5.84%K -36.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 16:55
BetUS🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -1.85%E -0.412%K -0.530%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.74%E -6.56%K -42.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 22:00
FanDuel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.04%E -0.917%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 21:04
LowVig.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.04%E -0.917%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 19:54
BetOnline.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.04%E -0.917%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 20:00
BetMGM🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.31%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.39%E -4.45%K -25.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 20:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.31%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.39%E -4.45%K -25.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 20:25
theScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.40%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 17:05
1xBet🎯4.13I 24.21%NM 22.66%EV -9.92%E -2.40%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.34%EV -5.39%E -4.45%K -25.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 20:54
MyBookie.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -10.58%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.39%E -4.45%K -25.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 20:29
Fliff🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 22.56%EV -11.67%E -2.88%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.44%EV -7.74%E -6.56%K -42.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-13 20:25
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.76%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 17:04
BetRivers🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -16.03%E -4.16%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -3.83%E -3.11%K -16.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 17:05
Bally Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -16.03%E -4.16%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -3.83%E -3.11%K -16.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 17:00
betPARX🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -16.03%E -4.16%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -3.83%E -3.11%K -16.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 17:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig4.69I 21.32%NM 20.24%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.76%5.4%2026-03-13 22:39