Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Missouri St Bears v Oklahoma St Cowboys

Kickoff: 2026-03-24 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Missouri St Bears (Local)

Prediction 45.40%2.20fair odd
EV -4.67%
Edge -2.22%
Kelly -4.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.59%45.93%45.39%48.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.022.062.1053.19%49.46%48.54%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oklahoma St Cowboys (Visit)

Prediction 54.60%1.83fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -0.951%
Kelly -2.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.09%54.07%54.61%55.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.741.711.8059.17%57.62%58.48%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Missouri St Bears (Local): 45.40%; Oklahoma St Cowboys (Visit): 54.60%. For Oklahoma St Cowboys (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.83. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.80, with an expected value of -1.71%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.67%E -2.22%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.63%E -3.87%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-24 14:50
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.67%E -2.22%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.63%E -3.87%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-24 17:40
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.67%E -2.22%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.63%E -3.87%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-24 16:57
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.67%E -2.22%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.63%E -3.87%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-24 18:30
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -4.67%E -2.22%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.72%E -4.57%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-24 14:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -5.12%E -2.45%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -6.63%E -3.87%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -5.12%E -2.45%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -6.63%E -3.87%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 18:30
FanDuel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -6.49%E -3.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -4.99%E -2.87%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-24 12:19
MyBookie.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -6.49%E -3.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -6.63%E -3.87%K -9.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-24 14:04
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.94%E -3.39%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.99%E -2.87%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 12:44
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -11.02%E -5.62%K -11.48%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -2.80%E -1.58%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-24 14:04
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -11.48%E -5.89%K -12.08%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -4.99%E -2.87%K -6.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-24 12:29
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -11.48%E -5.89%K -12.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -6.63%E -3.87%K -9.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-24 19:04
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -14.66%E -7.80%K -16.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -1.71%E -0.951%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-24 15:34
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -14.66%E -7.80%K -16.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -1.71%E -0.951%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-24 15:34
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -14.66%E -7.80%K -16.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -1.71%E -0.951%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-24 15:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%4.7%2026-03-24 19:35