Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Missouri St Bears v Missouri Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-04-15 22:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Missouri St Bears (Local)

Prediction 68.97%1.45fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -4.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.67%69.09%69.28%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.361.361.4275.76%73.53%73.53%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Missouri Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 31.03%3.22fair odd
EV +2.40%
Edge +0.727%
Kelly +1.04%
Growth +0.025%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.57%30.91%30.72%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.023.003.3035.71%33.11%33.33%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Missouri St Bears (Local): 68.97%; Missouri Tigers (Visit): 31.03%. For Missouri Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.22. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.40%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -8.96%E -6.79%K -28.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV +2.40%E +0.727%K +1.04%G +0.025%6.1%2026-04-15 22:14
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.27%E -6.22%K -25.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -0.704%E -0.220%K -0.320%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-15 22:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.27%E -6.22%K -25.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.81%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 22:14
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.27%E -6.22%K -25.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.81%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 17:30
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.27%E -6.22%K -25.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.81%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 17:30
Bally Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.27%E -6.22%K -25.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.81%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 17:30
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.20%E -4.56%K -17.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 21:16
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.27%E -6.22%K -25.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-15 22:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.74%EV -6.20%E -4.56%K -17.23%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.26%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 22:19
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -6.20%E -4.56%K -17.23%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.34%EV -7.53%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 20:40
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -2.06%E -1.45%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -8.46%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 15:39
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.44%E -2.46%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 01:53
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -3.44%E -2.46%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV -10.32%E -3.57%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 15:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -3.44%E -2.46%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV -10.32%E -3.57%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 15:45
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.44%E -2.46%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.12%E -4.68%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 15:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 76.69%3.29I 30.40%NM 23.31%30.4%2026-04-15 22:14