The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Missouri St Bears v Jacksonville St Gamecocks

Kickoff: 2026-05-03 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Missouri St Bears (Local)

Prediction 53.05%1.88fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -3.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%52.86%53.05%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.771.771.8357.47%56.40%56.50%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jacksonville St Gamecocks (Visit)

Prediction 46.95%2.13fair odd
EV -3.75%
Edge -1.83%
Kelly -3.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%47.14%46.95%48.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.992.002.0552.36%50.18%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Missouri St Bears (Local): 53.05%; Jacksonville St Gamecocks (Visit): 46.95%. For Missouri St Bears (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.83, with an expected value of -2.92%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.92%E -1.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.33%E -5.41%K -11.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 16:00
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -8.92%E -4.60%K -9.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:55
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 10:10
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 14:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 14:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 14:45
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 14:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.04%E -3.56%K -7.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 16:05
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.69%E -4.42%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 00:30
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.69%E -4.42%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.75%E -1.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 02:38
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.83%6.2%2026-05-03 16:45