Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Missouri St Bears v Jacksonville St Gamecocks

Kickoff: 2026-05-01 23:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Missouri St Bears (Local)

Prediction 51.53%1.94fair odd
EV +0.475%
Edge +0.244%
Kelly +0.500%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.00%51.09%51.48%52.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.821.801.9555.87%54.88%55.56%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jacksonville St Gamecocks (Visit)

Prediction 48.47%2.06fair odd
EV -5.48%
Edge -2.81%
Kelly -5.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.86%48.91%48.52%52.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.921.931.9555.56%52.16%51.81%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Missouri St Bears (Local): 51.53%; Jacksonville St Gamecocks (Visit): 48.47%. For Missouri St Bears (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.94. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.475%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +0.475%E +0.244%K +0.500%G +0.002%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -12.75%E -7.08%K -15.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 14:24
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -1.59%E -0.830%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -11.29%E -6.17%K -13.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 18:14
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.68%E -2.53%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 16:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -6.22%E -3.42%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -6.44%E -3.34%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 17:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -6.22%E -3.42%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -6.44%E -3.34%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 17:39
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.48%E -2.81%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 00:05
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.48%E -2.81%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 03:04
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.48%E -2.81%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 18:11
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -5.96%E -3.07%K -6.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 05:20
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 21:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -7.77%E -4.34%K -9.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -5.48%E -2.81%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 17:39
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -7.77%E -4.34%K -9.83%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -6.44%E -3.34%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:24
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -7.77%E -4.34%K -9.83%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -6.44%E -3.34%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:24
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -7.77%E -4.34%K -9.83%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -6.44%E -3.34%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%7.3%2026-05-01 22:50