Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mississippi St Bulldogs v Virginia Tech Hokies

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 21:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mississippi St Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 75.28%1.33fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -7.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.84%75.07%75.36%76.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.241.251.3082.64%80.52%80.32%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Virginia Tech Hokies (Visit)

Prediction 24.72%4.04fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.277%
Kelly -0.370%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.22%24.93%24.64%28.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.243.713.754.0030.86%26.96%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mississippi St Bulldogs (Local): 75.28%; Virginia Tech Hokies (Visit): 24.72%. For Virginia Tech Hokies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.04. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.00, with an expected value of -1.11%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -2.14%E -1.65%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -15.94%E -4.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 20:59
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.40%E -3.46%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.29%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 20:59
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.84%EV -4.40%E -3.46%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.16%EV -19.90%E -6.14%K -8.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 20:54
BetUS🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.15%E -4.09%K -19.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -11.00%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 20:59
Bovada🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -5.15%E -4.09%K -19.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -14.71%E -4.26%K -6.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 21:04
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.90%E -4.72%K -23.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.29%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 20:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.90%E -4.72%K -23.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.29%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 20:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.90%E -4.72%K -23.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.29%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 20:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -6.66%E -5.37%K -27.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -3.58%E -0.918%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 20:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -6.66%E -5.37%K -27.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -3.58%E -0.918%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 20:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.16%E -6.69%K -37.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.11%E -0.277%K -0.370%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 21:04
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.16%E -6.69%K -37.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.29%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 21:04
theScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -8.91%E -7.37%K -42.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -1.11%E -0.277%K -0.370%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 21:04
BetRivers🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.36%EV -8.91%E -7.37%K -42.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -8.53%E -2.30%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 20:59
betPARX🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.36%EV -8.91%E -7.37%K -42.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -8.53%E -2.30%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 20:59
Bally Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.36%EV -8.91%E -7.37%K -42.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -8.53%E -2.30%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 20:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.