Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mississippi St Bulldogs v Vanderbilt Commodores

Kickoff: 2026-03-22 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mississippi St Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 67.63%1.48fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.863%
Kelly -2.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.13%67.65%67.47%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.401.401.4672.46%71.35%71.43%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Vanderbilt Commodores (Visit)

Prediction 32.37%3.09fair odd
EV -2.89%
Edge -0.963%
Kelly -1.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.51%32.35%32.53%35.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.612.852.873.0038.31%35.11%34.84%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mississippi St Bulldogs (Local): 67.63%; Vanderbilt Commodores (Visit): 32.37%. For Mississippi St Bulldogs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.48. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.46, with an expected value of -1.26%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.13%EV -1.26%E -0.863%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.87%EV -15.51%E -5.94%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 17:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -1.94%E -1.34%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -14.22%E -5.37%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 17:50
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.97%E -2.79%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.51%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 17:49
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.64%E -3.29%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -7.74%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 17:50
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.32%E -3.80%K -13.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.13%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 17:55
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.32%E -3.80%K -13.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.13%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 17:49
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.32%E -3.80%K -13.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.74%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 17:49
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.67%E -4.83%K -17.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.89%E -0.963%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.67%E -4.83%K -17.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.51%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 17:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.67%E -4.83%K -17.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.51%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 17:45
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.53%EV -6.67%E -4.83%K -17.56%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.47%EV -7.10%E -2.47%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 17:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.67%E -4.83%K -17.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -7.74%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 17:54
Fliff🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -6.67%E -4.83%K -17.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -12.60%E -4.67%K -7.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 17:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%5.3%2026-03-22 17:54