Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mississippi St Bulldogs v UCLA Bruins

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 20:37 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mississippi St Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 47.69%2.10fair odd
EV -4.63%
Edge -2.31%
Kelly -4.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.38%47.78%47.39%49.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.961.972.0052.36%51.13%50.76%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UCLA Bruins (Visit)

Prediction 52.31%1.91fair odd
EV -3.22%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -3.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.80%52.22%52.61%53.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.771.751.8558.14%56.38%57.14%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mississippi St Bulldogs (Local): 47.69%; UCLA Bruins (Visit): 52.31%. For UCLA Bruins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.91. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.85, with an expected value of -3.22%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.41%E -4.18%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 20:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.41%E -4.18%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 20:29
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.50%E -5.49%K -13.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 20:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.50%E -5.49%K -13.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 20:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.50%E -5.49%K -13.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 20:29
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 20:30
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -6.06%E -3.07%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -8.45%E -4.83%K -11.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 20:29
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -6.06%E -3.07%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -8.45%E -4.83%K -11.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 20:29
Bally Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -6.06%E -3.07%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -8.45%E -4.83%K -11.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 20:29
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.97%E -5.16%K -12.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 20:34
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.97%E -5.16%K -12.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 20:28
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -3.22%E -1.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 20:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 20:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 20:29
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 20:29
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.27%E -2.33%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 20:29
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.38%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.62%EV -10.02%E -5.83%K -13.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-01 20:27
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.