Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mississippi St Bulldogs v Tennessee Volunteers

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

69%

31%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mississippi St Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 69.48%1.44fair odd

EV -2.73%

Edge -1.95%

Kelly -6.81%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

67.44%69.74%69.00%72.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.281.341.361.4078.13%74.38%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tennessee Volunteers (Visit)

Prediction 30.52%3.28fair odd

EV +2.24%

Edge +0.667%

Kelly +0.952%

Growth +0.021%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

27.65%30.26%31.00%32.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.903.103.023.3534.48%32.29%33.06%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mississippi St Bulldogs (Local): 69.48%; Tennessee Volunteers (Visit): 30.52%. For Tennessee Volunteers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.28. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.24%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BetRivers🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -11.06%E -8.64%K -39.51%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV +2.24%E +0.667%K +0.952%G +0.021%	8.0%	2026-04-12 17:20
Bally Bet🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -11.06%E -8.64%K -39.51%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV +2.24%E +0.667%K +0.952%G +0.021%	8.0%	2026-04-12 17:20
betPARX🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -11.06%E -8.64%K -39.51%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV +2.24%E +0.667%K +0.952%G +0.021%	8.0%	2026-04-12 17:20
FanDuel🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -8.28%E -6.28%K -25.89%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV +0.710%E +0.215%K +0.309%G +0.002%	6.1%	2026-04-12 17:29
theScore Bet🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -8.28%E -6.28%K -25.89%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -0.816%E -0.251%K -0.363%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-04-12 16:39
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -7.59%E -5.71%K -23.00%G +0.000%	3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -4.78%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-04-12 16:44
Caesars🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.12%E -2.98%K -10.83%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-04-12 14:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.59%E -5.71%K -23.00%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.39%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-04-12 16:40
1xBet🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 69.18%EV -6.20%E -4.59%K -17.71%G +0.000%	3.03I 33.00%NM 30.82%EV -7.53%E -2.49%K -3.71%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-04-12 17:25
LowVig.ag🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -4.81%E -3.51%K -13.00%G +0.000%	3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -7.83%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-04-12 16:00
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -4.81%E -3.51%K -13.00%G +0.000%	3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -7.83%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-04-12 16:00
888sport🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.50%E -4.05%K -15.29%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-04-12 05:50
888sport (SE)🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.50%E -4.05%K -15.29%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-04-12 05:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.50%E -4.05%K -15.29%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-04-12 05:49
BetMGM🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.50%E -4.05%K -15.29%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-04-12 12:25
BetUS🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -4.81%E -3.51%K -13.00%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -9.97%E -3.38%K -5.11%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-04-12 16:04
DraftKings🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.73%E -1.95%K -6.81%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.50%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-12 17:15
Bovada🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.12%E -2.98%K -10.83%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.50%E -3.96%K -6.05%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-04-12 17:23

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%	3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%	5.0%	2026-04-12 17:20